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Retirement Advice

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The Coronavirus And Your Investments. What Should You Do Now?

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Should you sell or buy the dip?

In my view the Corona Virus is a catalyst.

It is not the only issue. I do not know which issue will be dominant but I do know…

THE LAW OF THE HARVEST

There is a law, irrevocably decreed in heaven before the foundations of this world, upon which all blessings are predicated– D&C 130:20

The law of the harvest is just such a law. It states that if you plant in
the right season. If you plant in good soil, fertilize and have the right
amount of water and sunshine your odds over the long term will be good. Of course every good thing is under attack so you must do the work and fight off the weeds, pests, locusts, critters, weather issues etc.

Your odds are much worse if you plant during the harvest season. Planting when the corn is fully grown, tall with long tassels on the top is a bad
practice and your odds of success are minimal at best.

A study of The Master Cycle in stock prices can help you determine what
season we are in.  Are we in the harvest season or the planting season?

A long term study of stock prices since 1936 can help you identify long
bases in stock prices an indication of  the planting season and stocks that
have risen many times the price at the bottom of the base is an indication of
harvest time. When the price chart goes straight up after rising at an
increasing angle of attack this represents the tassels on the corn. Harvest
time is here.

EXAMPLES TODAY:

Priceline. com now Bookings.com

APPLE Inc.

Microsoft Inc

Now these stocks have topped. What is next?

I believe that once the top occurs investors will seek to buy these great
stocks at a discount at what is perceived to be a great bargain. They may
actually make a fast profit but unless they trade promptly when the rally ends they are likely to be bag holders.

The psychology goes from temporary setback to disbelief to confusion, then
panic and after a year or more back to preparation for another planting season two or three years later. These stocks are simply examples of fully ripe stocks. They may or may not conform to cycle shown next.

The Psychological Pattern

The Siren Song

Traders can find ample opportunities to take advantage of increased
volatility but uninformed investors who are focused on earnings forecasts and future opportunities are likely to experience serious financial pain.

You can learn more about the master pattern by reading the book, “Non
Random Profits” or by visiting the website: https://www.nonrandomprofits.com.

By understanding the master pattern and learning about average gains, mean gains and a bit of Elliot Wave analysis you can have a map that is helpful to avoid planting in the wrong season.

I have spent fifty years focused on this research and I know it is valuable
to those who do the work necessary to come to their own informed conclusion.

After the fact is not as helpful. Prepare now.

I have no current positions in the stock charts above. I am a nimble trader
and may buy issues for inter-day trading. I am risk averse at this time I am very disciplined in risk control. My clients have heavy cash positions today.

Friday Feb 27 at the close of the day about 7 minutes before the close big
buying came in so Monday could be a bounce up day. Perhaps a chance to sell at better prices will com.  But do not become complacent the next big move is down in my opinion.

The SPY ETF Is Now At It’s 200 Day Moving Average.

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As we wake up on Thursday morning February 27th after a big market drop this February the SPY is at the 200 day moving average. Often the market bounces from this level. Even if the trend remains down, shorts should be very careful today.

Traders can buy stocks that are not as affected by the coronavirus issues or can trade the SPY long if pressure comes off at this level. This is likely not the buy of a lifetime but a possible short term trade opportunity.

Wait for the turn to begin if you look for opportunity here. Don’t try to catch a falling knife is an expression that applies here. Also, if you invest use a tight stop as risk control and trim your position promptly when you begin to accumulate profits.

The danger here is to the shorts with the market oversold this is a place where a sharp rise may create a short term covering panic.

The rally I was looking for developed after the morning lows. However after a 600 point rally the market ran out of steam and closed below the 200 day moving average. The downtrend may now accelerate and go to a much lower level. clients need to have a plan for risk management. Quality assets are now being revalued.

Artificial Intelligence For IRA’s

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Artificial Intelligence (AI) For IRA’s

Over 75% of daily stock activity is generated by computers.

Computer chess champions cannot beat winning computer chess programs.

Top AI systems can best any investor at trading.

The top performing managers use AI.

The Renaissance Medallion Fund is the father of quant investing earning over 100 billion dollars since 1980 and earning about 7 billion dollars a year over the past several years as reported in a new best-selling book entitled, “The Man Who Solved the Market”. This fund is the super predator of our age holding assets an average of two days.  If you have noticed the odd behavior of stocks over the past seven years you might just be trading against computers.

Bridgewater Associates LLC. Was the top performing hedge fund in 2018 and not everyone knew, but AI was a performance enhancer to the famed asset allocation management.

Point 72 Asset Management run by Steven A. Cohen is also a top performer using AI.

You can use a top performing AI cloud-based system to enhance your IRA performance. You may do it yourself or use a manager.  IRA’s are excellent because of their ability to compound trading gains without ordinary income taxation.

Trade-Ideas AI system named “Holly” has won recent awards for its excellent performance.

Holly is the only commercially available AI service that has delivered positive alpha over the past four years. Trade-Ideas has recently been awarded Best Machine Learning Development at Fund Intelligence’s 2019 Technology and WSL Awards. This was mostly due to the proven application of the technology to substantially outperform the S&P in 2018.

Holly is an artificial intelligence tool that generates active strategies each day to capture alpha.

The amazing part of its AI performance is that it closes out all trades by the end of each day.

52% in 2016.

Most recent performance figures will be published soon.

Go to: bit.ly2WcFAtM  for more info.

Go to: bit.ly/2VXgpq7  to see Trade-Ideas used by traders ( a free trading room) Opens at 9:00 AM EST and closes at 3:00 PM EST.

Holly is excellent for suitable IRA owners and for managers of Private Placement Variable Life contracts.

Each evening “Holly” makes millions of calculations, tests various filters and selects the best algorithms for the next day as shown above. The selected algorithms have the best win rates and PF calculations over the past 90 days. The PF means that for every dollar at risk the algo made 1.79 to 6.30. The investor can choose which of these algos to use for the trading day. Interestingly most of the profits are earned in the morning.

Holly can even direct the trades automatically.

Advisor’s Capital Investments Inc is one of the first advisors to use “Holly”.  Trade-Ideas sends prospective advisor clients to ACI for demonstration and training.

Advisor’s Capital Corp. offers educational training including “Holly” called Street Smart.

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Trade Ideas is a publisher. You understand that no content published as part of the Trade Ideas Trading Services constitutes a recommendation that any particular investment, security, portfolio of securities, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. You further understand that none of the creators or providers of our Services or their affiliates will advise you personally concerning the nature, potential, value or suitability of any particular investment, security, portfolio of securities, transaction, investment strategy or other matter. Accordingly, do not attempt to contact them seeking personalized investment advice, which they cannot provide. To the extent any of the content published as part of the Services may be deemed to be investment advice, such information is impersonal and not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person.

You understand that the views expressed in the Trading Services are the authors’ own opinions. The Trading Services may contain opinions from time to time regarding securities mentioned in other Trading Services, and that those opinions may be different from those obtained by using another portion of the Trading Services. Trading in securities (including, without limitation, stocks, options, ETFs and bonds) involves risk and volatility. Past results are not necessarily indicative of future performance. Neither Trade Ideas nor any of its data or content providers shall be liable for any errors or delays in the content, or for any actions taken in reliance thereon. In addition, as markets change continuously, previously published information and data may not be current and should not be relied upon.

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Before selling or buying any investment, you should consult with a qualified broker or other financial professional to verify pricing information.

To the extent any of our Trading Services involves a model portfolio or an actual portfolio of investments, as described below, such portfolio of investments is chosen by the author in accordance with their stated investment strategy. Your actual results may differ from results reported for the portfolio for many reasons, including, without limitation:

  • performance results for the portfolio do not reflect actual trading commissions that you may incur;
  • performance results for the portfolio do not account for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity, that may affect your results;
  • the investments chosen for the portfolio may be volatile, and server, delivery delays and other factors may cause the price you obtain to differ substantially from the price at the time of the alert;
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  • certain of our products may contain a model portfolio that provides investment ideas and/or provides information regarding investments. Each product is available for informational purposes only. The information, research, and opinions contained in our products have been obtained or derived from sources believed to be reliable, but we cannot guarantee its accuracy and completeness, nor the opinions based thereon. You should not rely solely upon the research herein for purposes of transacting securities or other investments, and you are encouraged to conduct your own research and due diligence, and to seek the advice of a qualified securities professional before you make any investment. None of the information contained in our products constitutes or is intended to constitute a recommendation by us of any particular security or trading strategy or a determination by us that any security or trading strategy is suitable for any specific person. Investing in the stocks chosen in any of Trade Ideas’ products is risky and speculative. Trading in any security can result in immediate and substantial losses of the money invested. It is recommended that you only invest funds that are not allocated for other purposes, such as retirement savings, student loans, mortgages, education, or debt reduction.

Streetsmart

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Streetsmart is an investment management course focused on what is working in today’s markets. Over the past 10 years markets have changed significantly. Investors with 403b and 401k investments often do not recognize the higher level of risk they are taking as markets move higher. Stock investors may not be prepared to hold their own against institutional preditors with quant based systems and insider type advantages that may put them at a disadvantage. The Renaissance Medallion Fund is an example of a super predator that has been reported as making $7 billion per year with an average holding period of two days.

These quant investors are representing more than 70% of all trades.

Have you noticed that your very attractive fundamental stocks start to rise only to lose value very quickly for no apparent reason?

Have you owned a stock which dramatically declines on negative news. You sell to limit losses only to see it rise again right after you have sold it.

These predators feed off the habits of investors. They often know the headlines before you do and are prepared.

Follow the smart money using dark pool prints, option sweeps and AI computations that are just like counting cards at a casino. These tools may give you advantages ordinary investors do not have.

The course is provided in one hour increments on line. It is designed for both the 401k and 403b investor offering the ability to properly monitor and have a plan for risk control on retirement holdings and continues on for investors who spend much more time and money on investing. The courseware provides sophisticated investment information for individual investors, professional investors and investment advisors.

You can read more about these tools by reading the blogs on this website.

Streetsmart is offered by Advisor’s Capital Corp. the holding company of Advisor’s Capital Investments, Inc.

The initial one hour course is free.

Subsequent on line coursework is provided for $19.95 per hour. Based on the value you determine for yourself you may continue or not at your choice.

Learn about a stock pattern that has worked for 80 years with remarkable success. Using this pattern’s history it is possible to intelligently assess risk.

In today’s high market a heavy focus on risk control is needed. Be prepared for the opportunity and difficulties that lie ahead by assessing the value of new tools that are recently proven to offer an advantage for investors that embrace change.

Let us know if you would like an on line invitation as well as what time frames are best for you.